Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 153.582664 179.823094 211.184694 252.024018 304.708457 3.717052e+02 4.656031e+02
2025-02-16 119.044971 150.500816 192.595095 255.188684 350.020255 4.962213e+02 7.575674e+02
2025-02-23 100.307094 133.035340 180.133962 256.808141 387.502912 6.226124e+02 1.146377e+03
2025-03-02 88.530839 121.777888 172.403998 261.108758 428.401835 7.755181e+02 1.747339e+03
2025-03-09 79.714666 112.896614 165.800363 264.423374 467.825476 9.510302e+02 2.678527e+03
2025-03-16 71.190563 102.961498 155.341282 257.632173 483.847883 1.085139e+03 3.787569e+03
2025-03-23 67.305620 99.790758 155.543298 270.834881 549.659569 1.414031e+03 7.002645e+03
2025-03-30 60.889340 91.526389 145.301578 260.207599 553.239931 1.554303e+03 1.002727e+04
2025-04-06 57.059814 87.199193 141.562662 262.528557 592.590621 1.877932e+03 1.863457e+04
2025-04-13 53.369895 82.679966 136.760849 261.307221 621.868044 2.208404e+03 3.654187e+04
2025-04-20 51.715100 81.589347 138.424307 275.661053 708.002446 3.004554e+03 1.592688e+05
2025-04-27 51.306832 82.704124 144.660343 303.213985 860.131054 4.741498e+03 1.418131e+08
2025-05-04 47.786527 77.891907 138.445701 298.305893 894.984344 5.819957e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 45.277083 74.821097 135.674140 302.769556 978.102975 8.101643e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 42.890494 71.726806 132.370373 304.839724 1055.250276 1.129134e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 40.968587 69.353081 130.340424 310.301149 1158.936966 1.714537e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 39.163610 67.031425 128.088560 314.515937 1264.552630 2.709239e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 36.857650 63.469979 122.412915 305.885978 1284.004359 3.531663e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 36.022650 62.901063 123.938483 322.683113 1504.879077 8.870477e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 33.851817 59.315797 117.504410 309.156172 1482.522580 1.125317e+05 NaN
2025-06-29 32.593092 57.592626 115.597682 312.105917 1606.010606 2.705491e+05 NaN
2025-07-06 31.246880 55.574623 112.694876 310.553386 1692.902817 7.259674e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 30.765200 55.407209 114.609374 328.843332 2019.729576 1.047864e+09 NaN